Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.068332 0.079404 0.091524 0.105752 0.121972 0.139862 0.161062
2025-01-26 0.053957 0.069186 0.087360 0.110544 0.139220 0.173405 0.217113
2025-02-02 0.044013 0.061557 0.084135 0.115077 0.156092 0.208276 0.279323
2025-02-09 0.034050 0.051616 0.075847 0.111284 0.161266 0.228628 0.325523
2025-02-16 0.027603 0.045013 0.070576 0.110188 0.169190 0.252793 0.378882
2025-02-23 0.022284 0.038921 0.064815 0.107139 0.173403 0.271650 0.426259
2025-03-02 0.018346 0.034169 0.060165 0.104798 0.177926 0.290885 0.475554
2025-03-09 0.015856 0.031317 0.057998 0.105879 0.187576 0.318429 0.539648
2025-03-16 0.013167 0.027581 0.053700 0.102665 0.189588 0.333806 0.585636
2025-03-23 0.012077 0.026609 0.054067 0.107486 0.205541 0.373094 0.673665
2025-03-30 0.010641 0.024682 0.052358 0.108240 0.214293 0.400887 0.744627
2025-04-06 0.009051 0.022131 0.049047 0.105479 0.216224 0.416846 0.796320
2025-04-13 0.007795 0.020098 0.046526 0.104042 0.220699 0.438155 0.860193
2025-04-20 0.007326 0.019765 0.047485 0.109751 0.239597 0.487501 0.979067
2025-04-27 0.006839 0.019298 0.048084 0.114773 0.257651 0.536825 1.101958
2025-05-04 0.005812 0.017281 0.044911 0.111245 0.257825 0.551889 1.161297
2025-05-11 0.005096 0.015917 0.043022 0.110278 0.263189 0.577461 1.242840
2025-05-18 0.004370 0.014362 0.040417 0.107289 0.263796 0.593425 1.306538
2025-05-25 0.003783 0.013066 0.038236 0.104977 0.265580 0.611832 1.376439
2025-06-01 0.003427 0.012376 0.037501 0.106076 0.275190 0.647352 1.484062
2025-06-08 0.002942 0.011170 0.035184 0.102863 0.274350 0.660332 1.545343
2025-06-15 0.002809 0.011079 0.035935 0.107698 0.293244 0.717942 1.706033
2025-06-22 0.002548 0.010497 0.035192 0.108455 0.302232 0.754169 1.822876